Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305d5e0bc6305451a0d5a915a5b075d13b33d98a0043b2688cbc084df5e1b12c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Disguised, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 14,231$10,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.97 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 37c | 10,605$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.87 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 7,117$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.07 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 35c | 5,752$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 38c | 5,555$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.9 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 68c | 5,348$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.26 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Disguised | 49c | 5,323$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.96 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid | 64c | 5,210$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.65 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Disguised | 38c | 4,750$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.94 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 2c | 4,088$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 4,014$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.69 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…74c1backed Disguised | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 2,950$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.86 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised | 42c | 2,631$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.73 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,394$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.46 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Disguised | 24c | 2,138$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.72 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,010$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.8 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Disguised | 2c | 2,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 50c | 1,806$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.28 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Disguised | 31c | 1,729$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,317$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,300$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.31 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised | 25c | 1,149$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Disguised | 37c | 1,089$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.08 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 2c | 1,066$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,013$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 66c | 899.99$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…4c93backed Team Liquid | 70c | 819.27$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Disguised | 29c | 817.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 55c | 748.18$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.68 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Disguised | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 34c | 680.74$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid | 61c | 665.9$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Disguised | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…7e3fbacked Disguised | 32c | 600$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…4089backed Disguised | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…3a94backed Team Liquid | 59c | 515$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 424.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Disguised | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 32c | 385.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Disguised | 33c | 369.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 355.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 43c | 344.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…55d7backed Disguised | 41c | 343$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Disguised | 30c | 335.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 28c | 330.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Team Liquid | 71c | 326.18$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…f46ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 325$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Disguised | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…6c39backed Team Liquid | 59c | 315$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Disguised | 33c | 310$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…4e3bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 308$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 302.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…50b9backed Disguised | 42c | 288$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…2601backed Disguised | 42c | 278$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a92…db4fbacked Disguised | 42c | 275$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…f982backed Disguised | 41c | 271$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…c659backed Team Liquid | 59c | 267$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…fccdbacked Disguised | 42c | 266$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…6706backed Disguised | 41c | 259$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…a995backed Disguised | 41c | 259$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Disguised | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…19b9backed Disguised | 42c | 243$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c6…39c7backed Team Liquid | 59c | 242$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Disguised | 38c | 217$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Disguised | 37c | 214.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Disguised | 24c | 210.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 203.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…9647backed Team Liquid | 60c | 199$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…59cebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…42b1backed Disguised | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…bd61backed Team Liquid | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Disguised | 34c | 195.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…f3f4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 191$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Disguised | 38c | 183$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Team Liquid | 62c | 164.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Disguised | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 34c | 152.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Liquid | 62c | 147.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…e3a2backed Disguised | 11c | 146.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Disguised | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…964fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 127$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…597ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 124.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…bac4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 124$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Disguised | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 117.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Team Liquid | 55c | 116.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f3efbacked Disguised | 26c | 116.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…2df6backed Team Liquid | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…4f17backed Disguised | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.