TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1173…1d74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
477
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT33040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 330 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.47
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.07
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winnerbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.62
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winnerbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.19
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.15
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.28
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.29
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.72
LoL: Myth Esports vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.17
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.28
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+231.1%+$126.9
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050.39
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.11
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$517.06
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.61
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$81.17
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.55
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$588.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$775.11
Showing 25 of 330 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$282.5
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$49.64
Valorant: NRG Academy vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.97
Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 3 Winnerbacked FALKE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,333.54
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.73
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+250.7%+$750.56
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.84
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.89
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+363.7%+$346.24
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$206.34
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.24
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$57.56
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Bbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$502.66
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$290.54
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$364.32
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.98
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+41.2%+$20.61
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.79
Valorant: GIANTX vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$495.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$127.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.41
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.79
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+98.3%+$149.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$50.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$114.96
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.8%+$100.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$113.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+64.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203.1%+$41.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$127.39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$224.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$216.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+149.5%+$38.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+34.4%+$789.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+91%+$30.12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+147.6%+$22.14
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.79
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.07
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.86
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.91
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.08
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.51
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Oeiras 4: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.27
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.08
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.67
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$56.54
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreevabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+117.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$75.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$109.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$62.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$293.22
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.17
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$449.34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$760.65
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.65
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+206.1%+$3,080.62
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+98.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$107.18
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.05
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.94
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.