Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362bac227665639ffaf1449543542b0962b13d358d863dc67db3f192aebc1d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 23,060$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,165.68 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 11,960$7,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 9,372$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 8,342$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.11 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 8,022$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.66 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 7,814$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 5,122$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.31 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 10c | 4,400$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 43c | 3,568$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.03 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,255$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.49 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 77c | 2,900$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.28 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,663$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.54 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 2,537$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.14 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,505$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 2,495$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 2,424$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,421$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.54 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,984$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.71 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,935$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.28 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,863$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.61 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,731$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.49 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,682$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.16 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,428$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,409$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,397$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.46 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,357$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.54 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 1,310$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,293$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.57 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,269$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,177$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,144$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,076$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,075$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.41 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,075$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.16 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Falcons | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 980.03$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.33 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Falcons | 43c | 869.24$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.24 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 51c | 863.69$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 833.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 19c | 815.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.59 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 784.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 766.66$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.36 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 66c | 758.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.27 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 733.71$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.97 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 58c | 710.5$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.63 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 707.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 705.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 701.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 690$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 689$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.29 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Team Falcons | 76c | 676.29$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 642.63$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 619.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 609.45$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 599.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.05 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 577.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 576.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons | 28c | 496.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 464.64$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Falcons | 39c | 428.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.21 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…1eabbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 407.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 405.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Falcons | 50c | 402.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 382.75$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 375.22$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Team Falcons | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 370$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 364.83$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…5284backed Team Falcons | 63c | 324.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 313.82$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 310$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Falcons | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 45c | 299.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 296.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Falcons | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 288.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.