TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f6f…5284

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$59.26
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$49.22
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$89.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.89
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$351.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$375.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$92.62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$120.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$92.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.