Spread: United States (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x363ffe148031f2c8fc3034d5d576311f91985ff1aa0a1f66119c4d8b96062fbc

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: United Statesof United States, Australia
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,564,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,805,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,564,513 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9b89…4244backed United States	36c	150,000$54,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,000	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Australia	59c	137,764$81,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,517.87	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed United States	35c	100,000$35,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked United States	35c	81,064$28,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,691.7	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Australia	64c	63,088$40,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,376.24	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Australia	65c	51,546$33,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,505.02	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Australia	65c	50,000$32,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,499.95	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Australia	65c	42,934$27,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,907.04	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed United States	34c	39,999$13,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,399.29	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Australia	65c	28,432$18,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,480.79	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked United States	36c	27,204$9,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,410.88	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked United States	35c	25,000$8,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,249.71	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	35c	23,048$8,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,979.24	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked United States	36c	21,174$7,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,551.36	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Australia	64c	20,000$12,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,799.97	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed United States	34c	19,883$6,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,122.81	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Australia	65c	18,000$11,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,699.98	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Australia	65c	17,288$11,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,237.1	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Australia	24c	17,005$4,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026.45	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Australia	65c	15,000$9,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,750	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed United States	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,899.95	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Australia	37c	14,482$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,329.81	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Australia	25c	12,913$3,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,237.98	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Australia	65c	11,548$7,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,548.36	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Australia	65c	11,536$7,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,540.21	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked United States	35c	11,218$3,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,281.79	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Australia	65c	10,154$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,600	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Australia	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Australia	15c	8,797$1,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.93	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Australia	64c	8,410$5,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,370.7	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Australia	65c	7,441$4,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,845.4	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked United States	34c	7,426$2,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,901.15	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed United States	34c	7,000$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,619.98	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecab…e8d4backed Australia	65c	6,769$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Australia	15c	6,028$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.51	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked United States	71c	6,009$4,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,717.62	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Australia	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Australia	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899.98	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed United States	59c	5,981$3,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,461.49	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Australia	65c	5,810$3,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,748.78	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Australia	65c	5,790$3,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,763.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Australia	65c	5,630$3,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,659.93	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked United States	50c	5,597$2,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,821.13	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Australia	12c	5,561$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.98	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked United States	35c	5,500$1,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,574.98	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked United States	55c	5,423$2,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440.22	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	54c	5,227$2,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.51	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Australia	64c	5,164$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,305.12	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Australia	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Australia	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Australia	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.96	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Australia	65c	4,999$3,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249.33	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed United States	35c	4,903$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,186.95	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Australia	64c	4,736$3,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,031.04	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Australia	65c	4,545$2,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,954.21	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed United States	42c	4,345$1,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520.91	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4393…5437backed Australia	64c	4,292$2,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,746.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939a…3e95backed United States	35c	4,231$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.83	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked United States	34c	4,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Australia	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed United States	35c	4,000$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed United States	36c	4,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked United States	35c	4,000$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.98	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Australia	66c	3,788$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked United States	60c	3,715$2,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.17	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Australia	64c	3,680$2,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.2	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Australia	64c	3,500$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States	62c	3,500$2,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.55	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed United States	58c	3,448$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.28	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed United States	35c	3,437$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,233.98	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Australia	38c	3,374$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.5	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed United States	57c	3,281$1,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.9	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Australia	64c	3,232$2,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.06	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked United States	35c	3,174$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.29	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Australia	47c	3,000$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.05	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Australia	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Australia	64c	2,977$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.41	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Australia	18c	2,950$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.03	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed United States	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.18	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed United States	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.14	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked United States	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.14	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed United States	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.02	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed United States	35c	2,842$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.13	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Australia	40c	2,814$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.13	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Australia	64c	2,800$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,791.97	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed United States	35c	2,788$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,812.48	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked United States	63c	2,787$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.3	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed United States	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.78	40	40%16 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed United States	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.78	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked United States	48c	2,711$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.95	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed United States	36c	2,686$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.78	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Australia	15c	2,670$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.49	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed United States	38c	2,665$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.44	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Australia	34c	2,611$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.51	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked United States	64c	2,376$1,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.6	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Australia	9c	2,331$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.42	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Australia	44c	2,287$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed United States	36c	2,200$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408	91	39.6%36 W · 55 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked United States	58c	2,069$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.97	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed United States	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-1.5)this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event