Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653930b7fc6f8f670a769980f4d58001165e44c9e168557d3ec6b124b4bb6b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Under | 9c | 99,999$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.93 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 8c | 22,467$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.39 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 7c | 18,898$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 6c | 16,043$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.18 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 5c | 15,631$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.57 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 8c | 9,324$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.89 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e8b6backed Under | 9c | 5,371$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 8c | 4,561$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 6c | 4,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 8c | 4,400$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 5c | 3,656$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 6c | 3,184$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 8c | 2,026$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 6c | 1,920$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Under | 8c | 1,842$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 5c | 1,640$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 5c | 1,600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…12c6backed Under | 9c | 988.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under | 6c | 729.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 5c | 725.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 7c | 724.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…c66cbacked Under | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Under | 6c | 699.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 5c | 691.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 6c | 684$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 582$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under | 5c | 574$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 8c | 549.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 381.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Under | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 6c | 340$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…1fd9backed Under | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 7c | 308.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 6c | 287.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…0696backed Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Under | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 7c | 229.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…e804backed Under | 7c | 225$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 6c | 209.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Under | 6c | 168.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…6795backed Under | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.