United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2caa56ce87821dfaff13470465afbf442c79f641726585722841eac93eb5a6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $173,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $202,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	40c	47,613$18,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,947.86	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	59c	20,538$12,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,503.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	53c	14,621$7,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,931.9	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	44c	9,399$4,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,121.14	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under	46c	7,706$3,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,544.7	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	55c	7,675$4,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,473.77	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	49c	7,240$3,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,537.1	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	28c	6,121$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	66c	2,993$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.92	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	46c	2,992$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.57	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	56c	2,937$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.12	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	79c	2,907$2,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.76	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under	46c	2,803$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.38	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under	48c	2,456$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.3	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	4c	2,153$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.89	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	46c	1,927$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.31	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under	5c	1,899$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	51c	1,738$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.81	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over	77c	1,479$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.08	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	71cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under	45c	1,436$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.38	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over	74c	1,230$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.3	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over	53c	1,093$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.61	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc9…f2d3backed Over	54c	999.99$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Under	45c	999.95$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.98	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	78c	993.16$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.48	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	76c	979.31$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.78	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	46c	953.27$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.51	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over	53c	938.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.07	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Over	54c	919.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.19	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Over	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+6.0wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	43c	883.91$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.08	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over	53c	870$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.9	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	53c	706.49$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.01	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under	44c	702.47$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.09	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over	51c	664.63$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.67	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	77c	660.53$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.37	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	46c	656.32$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.5	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under	47c	649.97$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.49	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over	55c	631$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.74	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	46c	625.62$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.91	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under	45c	621.03$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.46	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	46c	594.97$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.86	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	46c	591.36$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.65	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over	54c	586.64$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.86	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed Over	69c	563.46$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.23	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over	55c	540$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	170	45.9%78 W · 92 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	43c	499.99$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	44c	499.98$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8a…a805backed Over	55c	467.27$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.27	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Over	54c	463.86$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.86	73	27.4%20 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Over	54c	462.96$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.96	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	27c	444.79$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.02	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over	57c	442.09$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.09	137	54.7%75 W · 62 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over	52c	432.19$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.45	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	47c	387.95$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.34	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over	57c	384.71$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.5	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6d…e03bbacked Over	56c	373.79$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over	55c	370$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over	55c	370$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over	54c	366.66$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.66	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3659…be76backed Over	56c	345.89$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.89	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under	47c	339.41$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.52	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d4a…2435backed Over	56c	321.23$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.53	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over	55c	309.09$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.09	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0aa…cbc2backed Over	54c	277.96$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.96	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under	48c	275$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked Over	53c	268.47$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.18	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	53c	250$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.5	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over	56c	249.99$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	55c	245.45$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.45	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over	54c	239.42$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.42	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	45c	225.66$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.55	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over	55c	224.27$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.92	180	40%72 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over	76c	222.8$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.57	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over	56c	221.8$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.59	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	44c	218.78$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over	55c	218.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.18	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event