TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,285,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,396,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c163,589$120,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,537.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under74c147,000$109,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,779.932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over29c71,379$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,70019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under60c50,970$30,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,557.6942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c40,360$11,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,157.081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under77c40,007$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,207.32,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over23c34,622$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0004025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over27c30,381$8,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,142.2124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c27,753$19,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,812.982,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over24c21,364$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.3621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under71c20,266$14,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940.774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over42c17,684$7,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,427.1614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over29c15,011$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,353.2559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under64c13,999$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.732839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over28c12,680$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c12,180$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over28c9,126$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.1295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c9,070$6,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.093,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Over28c8,929$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004721.3%10 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c8,726$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.7677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under75c8,519$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.484744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over29c8,162$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36711963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6061…79debacked Over42c7,272$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.261625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd9…9d8bbacked Under71c7,200$5,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over27c6,878$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over38c5,841$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.7531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over28c5,357$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over32c5,271$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.4825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c5,115$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c5,001$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c5,000$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.3145421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under59c4,977$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.6513731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over41c4,841$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under63c4,678$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.784665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c4,658$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.821,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over24c4,444$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under58c3,996$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.4644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Over19c3,830$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over26c3,816$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.438047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over21c3,794$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over24c3,680$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.251,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over24c3,679$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.521,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over41c3,667$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.8639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over21c3,514$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.362,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over29c3,444$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7622342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under71c3,394$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.7665948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over40c3,350$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34010146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over29c3,340$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.1958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over14c3,338$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under66c3,230$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c3,196$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under63c3,148$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.7616050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over27c3,052$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over38c3,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over25c3,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.985516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Over24c2,984$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.316538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over34c2,973$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9998640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over28c2,900$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8129839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over36c2,720$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.5834533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacd4…9e98backed Over24c2,708$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over26c2,530$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.461,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over27c2,290$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.0523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over30c2,215$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.448723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over48c2,085$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Over24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Over24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over29c2,070$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.35330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3362…a769backed Over31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005922%13 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over34c1,919$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.351,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over43c1,888$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.424235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over45c1,859$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.658254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over29c1,708$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6e…2ecabacked Over36c1,646$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4419158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over23c1,520$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over14c1,375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.957122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under71c1,363$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over42c1,328$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.484341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Over23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,289$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over41c1,283$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.036246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over30c1,192$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over41c1,190$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.815343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over41c1,178$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48311122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over24c1,125$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over24c1,125$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under62c1,110$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.