Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959c79d9ff310b46dec3e402f4e71e80a23d8c7a5228c41946900eab085a0d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,285,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,396,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 163,589$120,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,537.52 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 74c | 147,000$109,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,779.9 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 29c | 71,379$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 60c | 50,970$30,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,557.69 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 40,360$11,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.08 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 77c | 40,007$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,207.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Over | 23c | 34,622$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 27c | 30,381$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.21 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 27,753$19,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.98 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 24c | 21,364$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.36 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 71c | 20,266$14,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.7 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 42c | 17,684$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.16 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 15,011$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.25 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 64c | 13,999$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 28c | 12,680$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 12,180$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 28c | 9,126$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.12 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 9,070$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Over | 28c | 8,929$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 8,726$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.76 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…5118backed Under | 75c | 8,519$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 29c | 8,162$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…79debacked Over | 42c | 7,272$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd9…9d8bbacked Under | 71c | 7,200$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 27c | 6,878$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.68 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 38c | 5,841$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.75 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 32c | 5,271$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.48 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 5,115$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 5,001$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 5,000$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.31 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 59c | 4,977$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.65 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 41c | 4,841$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 63c | 4,678$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.78 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 4,658$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.82 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 24c | 4,444$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 58c | 3,996$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.46 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Over | 19c | 3,830$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 26c | 3,816$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.43 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 21c | 3,794$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.8 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 24c | 3,680$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.25 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 24c | 3,679$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.52 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 41c | 3,667$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.86 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 21c | 3,514$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.36 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 29c | 3,444$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 71c | 3,394$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.76 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 40c | 3,350$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 29c | 3,340$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.19 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 14c | 3,338$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 66c | 3,230$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.92 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 3,196$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 63c | 3,148$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.76 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 27c | 3,052$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.96 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Over | 24c | 2,984$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.31 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Over | 34c | 2,973$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 36c | 2,720$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.58 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…9e98backed Over | 24c | 2,708$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 26c | 2,530$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.46 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 27c | 2,290$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.05 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Over | 30c | 2,215$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.44 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8597backed Over | 48c | 2,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Over | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked Over | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 29c | 2,070$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.3 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…a769backed Over | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 1,919$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Over | 43c | 1,888$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.42 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 45c | 1,859$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.65 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Over | 29c | 1,708$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Over | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6e…2ecabacked Over | 36c | 1,646$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Under | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.44 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 23c | 1,520$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 14c | 1,375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 71c | 1,363$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1388backed Over | 42c | 1,328$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.48 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Over | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Over | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,289$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 41c | 1,283$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 30c | 1,192$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.87 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Over | 41c | 1,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 41c | 1,178$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 24c | 1,125$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 24c | 1,125$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 62c | 1,110$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.57 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.