TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over2c18,000$400 inLost-$40021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over8c12,507$950 inLost-$950.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over2c5,140$79 inLost-$79.165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c3,500$137 inLost-$136.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Over4c2,500$100 inLost-$10028731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c1,590$91 inLost-$90.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…2f6ebacked Over7c1,357$100 inLost-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c910.28$31 inLost-$30.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over5c599.97$29 inLost-$28.846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over6c579.63$37 inLost-$37.173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over3c576.92$15 inLost-$1517322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over6c482.52$30 inLost-$3037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over6c448.11$27 inLost-$26.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over3c384$12 inLost-$12.422,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over4c250$10 inLost-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…fd10backed Over6c232.85$15 inLost-$156735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.