TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,500$660 inLost-$659.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under56c1,011$566 inWon+$444.834470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under79c950.71$755 inWon+$195.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under79c695.46$549 inWon+$146.0511745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over20c605.28$121 inLost-$121.0670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Under56c509.19$285 inWon+$224.041681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.1wins+0.38per pick43cpaid+268.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0e4c…dbabbacked Over21c467.16$100 inLost-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under79c454$360 inWon+$93.862,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under78c357.09$279 inWon+$78.566654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under78c261.96$204 inWon+$57.6358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over21c261.39$55 inLost-$54.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over26c227.53$59 inLost-$59.1680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under74c227$168 inWon+$59.026253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over21c204$43 inLost-$42.8492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under79c200$158 inWon+$4218448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over21c199.99$42 inLost-$4228544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under80c194.73$156 inWon+$38.953366.7%22 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under79c163.36$129 inWon+$34.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under79c158$125 inWon+$33.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under78c158$124 inWon+$34.152,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over21c141.73$29 inLost-$29.051,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c96.73$20 inLost-$20.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…0d34backed Over21c94.85$20 inLost-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under80c65.04$52 inWon+$13.0136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under75c50.8$38 inWon+$12.496246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed Under77c32$25 inWon+$7.45569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under80c29.44$23 inWon+$5.9519257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under75c26.87$20 inWon+$6.7210947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under78c24.95$19 inWon+$5.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under78c17.86$14 inWon+$3.9311065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.