Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc161f89c2e163f0e7bcaff8ebe340748d2c707f288d181f67e677f147f80b4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 51,068$29,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,535.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 46c | 21,057$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Over | 61c | 14,946$9,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.29 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 47c | 13,384$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.52 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 21c | 12,937$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.49 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 42c | 11,903$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.43 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 10,332$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 50c | 9,688$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 45c | 9,367$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.69 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 48c | 7,921$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…0f20backed Over | 53c | 4,576$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 4,375$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 4,343$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.98 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 55c | 3,416$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d28dbacked Under | 47c | 3,227$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 2,730$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.06 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 2,601$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 40c | 2,413$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.21 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 2,336$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.82 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Under | 41c | 2,262$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 59c | 2,088$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.92 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Under | 9c | 1,978$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.23 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 1,732$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.53 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 1,695$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Over | 61c | 1,631$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.16 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Over | 34c | 1,550$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 58c | 1,500$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 1,436$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 41c | 1,380$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Over | 40c | 1,354$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.83 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 1,267$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.11 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Over | 59c | 1,248$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 1,205$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.85 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…1609backed Over | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 25c | 1,023$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 10c | 985.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 24c | 887$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Over | 59c | 867.8$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…ad4cbacked Over | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 40c | 680$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 649.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.01 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 641$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 53c | 625$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 50c | 617.32$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 51c | 580.53$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.97 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 505.35$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 58c | 499.68$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1388backed Over | 50c | 495.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…4094backed Over | 42c | 457$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 43c | 379.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 361.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Over | 28c | 349.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…ce14backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Under | 39c | 324.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 320.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 57c | 320$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Over | 31c | 310.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Over | 53c | 278.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 35c | 275$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…910dbacked Over | 61c | 267.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…2e69backed Over | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 250.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Under | 47c | 233.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…099dbacked Under | 11c | 218.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 59c | 218.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Under | 52c | 208$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Over | 32c | 205.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Over | 39c | 205.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 204.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Over | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Over | 46c | 199.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Over | 53c | 189.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 30c | 180.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Over | 39c | 179.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 40c | 172.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 172.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…87e5backed Over | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 40c | 168.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 40c | 165.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.