TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c51,068$29,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,535.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under46c21,057$9,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,432.053141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over61c14,946$9,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,117.296929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under47c13,384$6,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,093.529345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over21c12,937$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.4936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over42c11,903$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.4349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c10,332$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c9,688$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c9,367$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,105.691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under48c7,921$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.531838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…0f20backed Over53c4,576$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c4,375$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c4,343$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.9822229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over55c3,416$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8792,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…d28dbacked Under47c3,227$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c2,730$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c2,601$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under40c2,413$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.2158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c2,336$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under41c2,262$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.783525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over59c2,088$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.9231152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over57c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under9c1,978$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.2314856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c1,732$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.5369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c1,695$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.954,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over61c1,631$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.168652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Over34c1,550$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53115127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over58c1,500$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87211642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over58c1,436$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under41c1,380$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a4…6ed6backed Over40c1,354$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.835738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c1,267$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.112,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36fd…ce8bbacked Over59c1,248$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under48c1,205$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.8513445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5488…1609backed Over59c1,111$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over25c1,023$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6812724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over10c985.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over24c887$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4510273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5453…b886backed Over59c867.8$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a68…ad4cbacked Over10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704119.5%8 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under40c680$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40812753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c649.62$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.012,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c641$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.013,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over53c625$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.254470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under50c617.32$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over51c580.53$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.976432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c505.35$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.672,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over58c499.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over58c499.68$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8145038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over50c495.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ba…4094backed Over42c457$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over23c430$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under43c379.46$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2922441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c361.6$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.931,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over28c349.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under39c324.11$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.714736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c320.23$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over57c320$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Over31c310.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.94228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.781,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed Over53c278.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.743450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over35c275$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a17…910dbacked Over61c267.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632475%18 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Over39c256.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over56c250.71$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.021,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under47c233.94$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f34…099dbacked Under11c218.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over59c218.61$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.011,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Under52c208$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.064052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Over32c205.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511618.1%21 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Over39c205.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c204.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.392,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dc…40c5backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205335.8%19 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Over35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05fd…50c9backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10722.8%2 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-96.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Over46c199.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.994032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8063…b886backed Over53c189.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under30c180.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.152,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Over39c179.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c172.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.982,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96c…87e5backed Over59c169.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008542.4%36 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under40c168.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9236838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under40c165.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4734844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.