United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67e78d9515ea4100e43ea9f861fde9b068c7fc3f1395d26699c433206f9aabf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,630,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,725,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,849 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe22a…2703backed Over	50c	500,000$250,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under	56c	414,724$231,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183,381.7	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	51c	333,278$170,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162,580.23	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	47c	176,254$81,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,961.86	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked Under	49c	175,141$85,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89,321.66	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.39per pick	50cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	104,108$47,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,049.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Under	49c	101,338$49,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,682.54	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+7.9wins	+0.40per pick	45cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under	55c	89,229$49,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,074.48	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	39c	72,150$28,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,759	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	68,903$27,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,799.38	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	65,294$32,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,101.72	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under	52c	57,172$29,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,189.73	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under	51c	57,000$29,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,719.98	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over	51c	50,005$25,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,502.51	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over	44c	45,250$19,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,909.98	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Under	50c	40,150$20,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,075	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over	43c	35,800$15,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,393.96	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	49c	35,382$17,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,499.95	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under	55c	32,684$17,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,724.15	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	40c	32,137$12,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,874.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Over	46c	25,601$11,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,850.08	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over	78c	25,522$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under	50c	25,340$12,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,670	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over	44c	24,339$10,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,709.12	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…4526backed Under	30c	22,496$6,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,738.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over	51c	22,106$11,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,373.81	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under	51c	22,100$11,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,829	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	51c	22,000$11,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,220	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over	43c	20,654$8,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,955.16	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+6.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Under	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.84	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	51c	19,444$9,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,907.96	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	18,267$8,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,471.35	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Under	57c	18,000$10,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,740	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Under	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,543.86	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under	56c	17,049$9,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,501.66	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over	38c	15,961$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,749.96	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	50c	14,587$7,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,293.59	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	58c	14,199$8,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,257.33	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	64c	14,105$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under	57c	13,071$7,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,620.4	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	59c	12,657$7,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,418.53	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over	51c	12,000$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under	56c	11,242$6,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,946.48	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over	17c	11,162$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.68	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	25c	11,084$2,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,806.93	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	34c	11,009$3,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,244.99	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under	55c	10,909$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,909.09	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over	51c	10,738$5,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,476.5	56	69.6%39 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	50c	10,500$5,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	34c	10,457$3,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,910.48	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under	55c	10,010$5,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,504.5	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	49c	10,000$4,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,074.98	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under	19c	9,827$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,939.91	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under	57c	9,649$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,149.12	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Over	45c	9,489$4,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,270	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over	19c	9,482$1,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.17	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under	46c	8,553$3,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,612.66	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over	45c	8,041$3,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,640.2	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	55c	7,840$4,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,524.52	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	58c	7,708$4,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,487.61	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	73c	7,603$5,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.37	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over	49c	7,356$3,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,604.35	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	32c	7,127$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Over	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	14c	6,905$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,904.74	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…07abbacked Over	48c	6,597$3,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,145	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	48c	6,569$3,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,184.18	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	53c	6,500$3,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,046.3	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over	54c	6,462$3,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,465.19	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	6,291$3,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,033.88	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	70c	6,255$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.09	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under	16c	6,232$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,235.28	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over	40c	6,093$2,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under	35c	6,012$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,908.1	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	54c	5,905$3,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,742.83	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	38c	5,825$2,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,611.55	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	52c	5,755$2,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,762.77	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over	32c	5,434$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.67	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	46c	5,083$2,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,354.58	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	46c	5,032$2,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,330.38	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Over	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	46c	5,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	44c	4,964$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,804.02	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	73c	4,963$3,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.79	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	35c	4,938$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,209.63	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	4,853$2,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,448.61	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	45c	4,668$2,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.6	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event