United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47959475696c12c99e65a4a672c061e0bdda03bb0e8d358fc896220954cfeaf

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $366,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $357,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	5c	107,128$5,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,868.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	6c	20,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b3…6c78backed Over	6c	10,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	5c	9,031$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.56	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	6c	7,670$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.82	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	8c	7,012$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.67	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	5c	5,213$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.87	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	5c	5,000$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.09	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c01…a931backed Over	6c	4,998$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	5cpaid	+427.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	6c	3,991$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.96	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over	6c	3,819$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.65	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over	6c	3,700$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.89	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	5c	3,150$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over	2c	2,754$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.21	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd475…9fb4backed Over	7c	2,300$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+141%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	6c	2,174$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.57	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	5c	2,002$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.09	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	5c	1,336$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce3…cbecbacked Over	4c	1,220$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over	6c	1,207$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	1,204$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.28	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	6c	1,180$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.06	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…f490backed Over	6c	1,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	6c	1,120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.12	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over	5c	1,100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x856e…a0f9backed Over	6c	862.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over	6c	847.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	5c	639.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	5c	615.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over	6c	526.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	138	26.8%37 W · 101 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	6c	502.29$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	8c	500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.88	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Over	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	5c	476.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	6c	416.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Over	6c	406.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4f…1bd9backed Over	7c	400$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over	6c	392.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x967d…ddd4backed Over	6c	383.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over	6c	366.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6d…96ddbacked Over	6c	338.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over	6c	336.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-72%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8694…2ae8backed Over	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	4c	299.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	6c	287.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over	5c	286.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3ae8…9e5abacked Over	5c	284$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over	4c	277.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	9c	273.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	113	31%35 W · 78 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	5c	270$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc0…0198backed Over	6c	258.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	6c	251.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	6c	233.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	8c	222.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over	6c	216.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a59…e605backed Over	5c	199.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c1…fa66backed Over	6c	181.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event