TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
United Statesof Australia, United States
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e05…7720backed Australia5c40,000$2,000 inLost-$2,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4393…5437backed Australia4c5,000$200 inLost-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Australia5c4,084$204 inLost-$204.182,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Australia6c1,700$101 inLost-$101.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa837…24a4backed Australia6c1,667$100 inLost-$1006826.5%18 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Australia6c1,616$97 inLost-$96.986823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a32…2fcdbacked Australia3c1,407$43 inLost-$43922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Australia4c1,030$41 inLost-$41.222,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Australia6c800$48 inLost-$481197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Australia5c799.99$40 inLost-$406328.6%18 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Australia5c700$35 inLost-$359417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb142…c4bdbacked Australia6c666.67$40 inLost-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Australia5c644$32 inLost-$32.251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Australia6c633.33$38 inLost-$3854917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Australia5c560.4$28 inLost-$28.021,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Australia5c540.4$27 inLost-$27.021,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Australia6c500$30 inLost-$3037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Australia6c500$30 inLost-$303067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c8…52c5backed Australia7c403.08$30 inLost-$30517.8%4 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Australia6c333.33$20 inLost-$20744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Australia6c333.33$20 inLost-$2026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Australia4c315.79$12 inLost-$1212818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Australia5c300$15 inLost-$1510614.2%15 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Australia6c287.33$17 inLost-$17.249237%34 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Australia4c285.04$12 inLost-$11.696516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Australia6c265.65$16 inLost-$15.942,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.