United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a369ceb2f78db29486fa7cce4f96b5c7f15e886cba93883620e3de246f10876

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $197,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,530 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	1c	32,159$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	8c	19,726$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.17	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over	21c	4,634$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.04	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	18c	3,370$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.32	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over	10c	2,536$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.91	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	79c	2,532$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.73	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	7c	2,462$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.94	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Over	12c	2,271$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.99	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	12c	2,104$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.26	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over	2c	2,038$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	2c	2,031$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	14c	1,511$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	25c	1,371$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.73	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over	8c	999.7$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over	11c	936.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	22c	872.25$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.62	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over	13c	838.84$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.86	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over	2c	833.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	22c	784.87$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.42	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	12c	773.71$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	13c	766.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Under	80c	766.12$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.12	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f6…7b64backed Over	13c	752.56$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.55	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	8c	750$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over	10c	736.97$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.34	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	21c	710.45$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.19	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	16c	680.44$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.18	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	18c	602.25$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.61	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over	2c	599.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over	16c	549.12$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.86	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over	17c	526$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.6	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	7c	479.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba31…836dbacked Over	23c	412.35$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.81	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over	12c	402.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f48…89dabacked Over	11c	373.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	14c	335$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bd…b053backed Over	7c	285.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	9c	280.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Over	13c	269.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over	19c	268.64$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	10c	262.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	16c	262.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	23c	250$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	11c	248.64$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.35	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over	8c	247.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccee…3eedbacked Over	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Over	22c	213.13$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	124	50%62 W · 62 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…a2b8backed Over	22c	213.13$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.38	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Over	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	24c	196.38$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe997…61b6backed Over	16c	185.38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	133	24.8%33 W · 100 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	7c	185.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over	17c	161.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.29	305	47.2%144 W · 161 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Over	14c	141.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	22c	120.36$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Over	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over	18c	112.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over	22c	106.56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x837e…49a7backed Over	24c	105.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	14c	102.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Over	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	76c	93.05$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.32	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	80c	90$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Over	24c	88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	258	41.1%106 W · 152 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…8a6ebacked Over	20c	53.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	78c	38.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	236	45.3%107 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	78c	26.92$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	78c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.3	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event