TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8f5…1a48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT6134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.8
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$75.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.48
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.8
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.51
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$46.14
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.12
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.63
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$144.87
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.61
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$81.94
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+199.1%+$441.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$153.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.3
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.33
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$90.87
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$187.32
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.35
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.94
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$86.58
Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$108.56
Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.8
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$159.6
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$170
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.