TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,248,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,294,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,248,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 700 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c179,509$121,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,861.912,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over41c65,165$27,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,011.911,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,5003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c41,754$15,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,560.31,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c41,092$6,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c35,567$12,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,192.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over17c29,714$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under67c28,165$18,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,180.9244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under54c23,695$12,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,987.5266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under39c20,160$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,284.593246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over64c19,300$12,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,287.075841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c18,420$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over42c14,479$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.1439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c12,083$7,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Over42c11,141$4,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.0410851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Over47c10,723$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c10,593$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.3851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under37c9,133$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,753.7525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over24c8,121$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9708723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c8,005$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.8636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over26c8,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under53c7,616$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.0728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c6,403$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.434,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under40c6,384$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.1337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over17c6,032$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.4438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under73c5,763$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.7898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under50c5,650$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.4477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Over15c5,376$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.1512144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9522437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over5c4,992$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3185…927abacked Under76c4,630$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.013100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over44c4,496$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over7c4,063$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over18c4,000$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2634125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Under60c3,876$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.313920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Under66c3,810$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.2544524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under51c3,762$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.5339933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over19c3,684$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9610146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under69c3,501$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.493464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over17c3,337$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.6859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under38c3,291$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.6721166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c3,286$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.591,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over51c3,108$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.551,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under45c2,966$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.8419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over62c2,703$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.6636234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over9c2,659$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over62c2,632$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.5825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Under38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under39c2,592$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.083234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Under62c2,581$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.654827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Under58c2,565$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.145628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over63c2,510$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5812254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over42c2,410$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.1917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over42c2,321$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.0724146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under58c2,222$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.2434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under66c2,205$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.1113727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9715127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under52c2,048$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.3633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over42c2,012$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over56c1,985$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.721759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over41c1,933$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.321,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over35c1,919$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.2153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Over16c1,917$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over52c1,890$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.0827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7921442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa1…6340backed Over56c1,859$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.831030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c1,855$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over40c1,836$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.2285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c1,820$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.242,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1413762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.145846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under39c1,643$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.2114250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under62c1,586$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over61c1,573$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.2816957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under57c1,540$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.154153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under54c1,516$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.8915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over62c1,449$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over43c1,374$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.1938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under47c1,364$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.4525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Under60c1,329$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.618449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c1,305$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.351,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under58c1,288$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.2818548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under51c1,275$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over63c1,270$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1342…66babacked Over63c1,268$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7997440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.827431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over10c1,257$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over43c1,250$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.510652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under40c1,229$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.144740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.