TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,373 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under3c35,000$925 inLost-$924.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under2c25,379$584 inLost-$583.7333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under3c19,994$540 inLost-$539.831,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Under4c13,129$500 inLost-$50024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under3c7,500$217 inLost-$217.0934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e7…4bbfbacked Under3c7,151$199 inLost-$199714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under2c6,996$173 inLost-$172.916116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under3c6,785$195 inLost-$195.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under2c5,000$100 inLost-$10036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under3c4,896$129 inLost-$128.71756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under2c3,222$74 inLost-$74.11968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under3c2,999$85 inLost-$85.37828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under2c2,316$55 inLost-$55.374740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under3c1,954$55 inLost-$54.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…e14ebacked Under3c1,584$43 inLost-$43.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Under3c1,202$35 inLost-$35.387911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db9…668abacked Under3c1,139$33 inLost-$33.043125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under2c1,100$22 inLost-$2226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost-$3012249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Under3c1,000$27 inLost-$2727765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555e…64d4backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Under4c975.95$38 inLost-$38922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under3c865.52$25 inLost-$2515336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under3c860.87$30 inLost-$309622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ab99backed Under3c714.29$20 inLost-$207417.6%13 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under2c686.7$13 inLost-$13.052,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Under3c500$13 inLost-$13.517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under3c488$13 inLost-$12.9465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under3c411.6$10 inLost-$10.2914342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under3c400$11 inLost-$11.218118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Under4c250$10 inLost-$1010142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.