TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c3,630$688 inLost-$687.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c445$104 inLost-$103.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under18c385.51$69 inLost-$69.3977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over80c375.31$300 inWon+$75.3165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under20c161.57$33 inLost-$333,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over80c161.24$129 inWon+$32.251,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…4aafbacked Under25c100$25 inLost-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Under22c90.91$20 inLost-$2023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over78c90.06$70 inWon+$20.0611560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Over80c61.06$49 inWon+$12.264770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c60$13 inLost-$12.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…a454backed Over80c30$24 inWon+$68960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over78c30$23 inWon+$6.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over78c20$16 inWon+$4.419653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.