Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573b94d1df2175e37b4c392f3f2543dda70ae651407115c66ba97f7a8bf6d7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 10c | 15,031$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.09 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 11c | 12,994$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 4c | 8,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 4c | 7,325$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 3c | 7,321$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 12c | 2,585$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 2,465$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Under | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Under | 12c | 1,642$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 3c | 1,199$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 10c | 1,174$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Under | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 15c | 1,053$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…e6cabacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 10c | 855.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Under | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 4c | 694.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 11c | 622.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 9c | 602.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 12c | 600.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 12c | 600.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Under | 6c | 515.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Under | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Under | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 11c | 447.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 8c | 328$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 14c | 299.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 294.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 10c | 276.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Under | 13c | 268.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 11c | 265.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…a9aebacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 12c | 227.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 12c | 222.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Under | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Under | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 10c | 211.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 14c | 195.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 11c | 187.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 12c | 171.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 11c | 110.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 12c | 105.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5this page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.