Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86fc2f4dc631cc096262b8ae9873d993318703ac3cb307f53b05a311e3e90ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, Saudi Arabia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,160,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,099,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,160,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 617 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Saudi Arabia | 56c | 807,051$451,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451,753.15 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Spain | 64c | 274,930$175,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,896.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Saudi Arabia | 25c | 231,996$58,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,489 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Spain | 44c | 173,513$76,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,896.37 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saudi Arabia | 46c | 151,347$69,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,230.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spain | 35c | 142,907$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,906.56 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Saudi Arabia | 69c | 139,895$96,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,073.92 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Spain | 32c | 74,274$24,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,248.9 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spain | 49c | 56,088$27,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,781.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Spain | 64c | 49,575$31,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,805.41 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Saudi Arabia | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Spain | 32c | 24,369$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,570.75 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Spain | 59c | 21,497$12,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,895.41 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Saudi Arabia | 66c | 16,475$10,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,947.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spain | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spain | 34c | 14,304$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.92 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Spain | 32c | 12,500$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain | 33c | 11,005$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.42 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Saudi Arabia | 66c | 11,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Spain | 77c | 10,384$7,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.36 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Saudi Arabia | 66c | 10,306$6,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,841.55 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Saudi Arabia | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 8,800$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.78 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Spain | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.76 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Saudi Arabia | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…911fbacked Saudi Arabia | 69c | 7,268$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Spain | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spain | 60c | 6,564$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.68 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Spain | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…57ebbacked Saudi Arabia | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Saudi Arabia | 47c | 5,883$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Saudi Arabia | 63c | 5,571$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.97 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Spain | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.15 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Spain | 33c | 5,441$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.18 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Spain | 67c | 5,395$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 5,001$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.8 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Saudi Arabia | 67c | 4,924$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Spain | 73c | 4,788$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.92 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spain | 34c | 4,505$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.3 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Saudi Arabia | 64c | 4,502$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.1 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Spain | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Saudi Arabia | 11c | 4,438$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Saudi Arabia | 6c | 4,319$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Spain | 61c | 4,232$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.55 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 3,788$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.32 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Saudi Arabia | 41c | 3,524$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.76 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Spain | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…d2a4backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 3,213$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…fd1bbacked Spain | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 3,103$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Spain | 34c | 3,039$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.69 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Spain | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 2,944$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.16 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ecc6backed Saudi Arabia | 58c | 2,929$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spain | 32c | 2,906$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.5 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 2,800$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Saudi Arabia | 4c | 2,757$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Spain | 57c | 2,747$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.4 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Saudi Arabia | 26c | 2,659$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.75 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 2,250$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.03 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Saudi Arabia | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Spain | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e56fbacked Saudi Arabia | 50c | 2,007$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spain | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Spain | 32c | 1,913$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Spain | 33c | 1,841$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.16 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…ba1fbacked Spain | 55c | 1,826$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…5fe7backed Saudi Arabia | 57c | 1,631$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.71 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Spain | 31c | 1,578$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.21 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Spain | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Saudi Arabia | 72c | 1,529$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.14 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -9.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Spain | 59c | 1,523$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Spain | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…6f00backed Spain | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Saudi Arabia | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…0ca9backed Spain | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 1,286$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.48 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Saudi Arabia | 68c | 1,260$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d52…4b56backed Spain | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Saudi Arabia | 70c | 1,200$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.98 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Spain | 32c | 1,156$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.25 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Spain | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…cebbbacked Saudi Arabia | 38c | 1,102$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.78 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Saudi Arabia | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.22 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Saudi Arabia | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…5c2dbacked Spain | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…b6bebacked Spain | 33c | 1,067$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Saudi Arabia | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Spain | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spain | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Saudi Arabia | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)this page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.