Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368325ad1acd6f954e98f040589897262bc2d26c22ca8201e02889d59ae71a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 11,692$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 6,501$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,167$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 20c | 2,491$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.47 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…c1c1backed Yes | 11c | 1,612$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,142$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,046$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 14c | 937.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 10c | 732.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 8c | 555.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 12c | 551$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 10c | 543.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 14c | 400.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 8c | 370.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Yes | 13c | 363.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Yes | 3c | 349.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 12c | 315.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Yes | 17c | 311.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…5df6backed Yes | 15c | 268.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 12c | 252.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 14c | 213.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Yes | 10c | 209.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e594backed Yes | 15c | 133.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…a344backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d6…19f7backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes | 16c | 103.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…3d85backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…5763backed Yes | 16c | 65.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 16c | 65.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…2803backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…8229backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 36.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.