TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,075 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a0…bc97backed Over3c634.48$20 inLost-$206737.3%25 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under68c499.99$340 inWon+$16058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Over32c391.26$125 inLost-$125.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c355.75$112 inLost-$111.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under68c279.1$190 inWon+$89.3123230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a1…a667backed Over27c44.44$12 inLost-$126523.1%15 W · 50 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under76c41.67$32 inWon+$102,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c33.46$25 inWon+$8.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e83…e1a8backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under77c21.09$16 inWon+$4.852,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…d62fbacked Under73c20.55$15 inWon+$5.554663%29 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under69c16.22$11 inWon+$5.0321858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.