TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,235,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,622,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,235,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4b1…5143backed Over51c899,999$458,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440,999.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under49c402,185$197,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,070.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under50c233,325$116,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,292.4620844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over52c189,615$98,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,015.3819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under48c166,234$79,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,792.5133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,50022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under50c143,210$71,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,604.9222450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c136,378$62,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,055.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under49c120,041$58,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,820.098349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c114,505$58,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,107.5874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over50c107,087$53,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,954.371,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under49c80,285$39,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,339.657851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Under48c70,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,6001225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under49c59,000$28,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,91017852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under50c48,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0004040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under49c46,593$22,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,830.5717447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c42,718$20,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,914.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Under53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.983063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under51c39,231$20,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,2004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over45c32,905$14,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,097.6414055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under49c31,380$15,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,376.213448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under50c29,500$14,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under46c20,433$9,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,366.2612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under17c20,428$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,565.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.773151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under2c18,333$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over52c14,000$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,72027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c13,142$6,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,570.9259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over51c11,737$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.976842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under50c11,600$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under52c11,538$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under50c11,500$5,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,754.9447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under49c11,289$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5471127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaff3…c3b2backed Over52c10,700$5,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over52c10,577$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.9213544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.986847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9210146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under50c8,808$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.057331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over50c8,728$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.012,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c8,308$4,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.361,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under3c7,808$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under46c7,520$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.321,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under10c7,378$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c7,308$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under5c6,721$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under50c6,400$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Over50c6,380$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.926445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under49c6,124$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.939647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4510849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over50c6,077$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.332842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over51c5,920$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.6113857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c5,850$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.9929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over52c5,695$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.89948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under10c5,616$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.0218543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08d8…fe20backed Over52c5,581$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.696363.5%40 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over52c5,407$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.3364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c5,357$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Under39c5,336$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over51c5,279$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.8637754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under7c5,127$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.869253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c4,833$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.0850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under55c4,630$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.6370648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under10c4,600$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.434125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under51c4,500$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over45c4,492$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.3425336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under51c4,400$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.9644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under48c4,124$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over51c4,120$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.877448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under50c4,042$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under49c4,004$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under47c4,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.977448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9329250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under50c3,960$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.576550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under48c3,888$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.2414348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c3,774$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.752,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Under8c3,602$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c3,453$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over52c3,303$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.13554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under3c3,267$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.018231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Under33c3,166$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0458231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9829633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.968337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under10c2,910$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4543230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under52c2,895$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.432647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6215042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.