TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$792,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$883,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over26c73,043$18,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,797.521,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c70,880$12,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,765.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over13c30,053$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c25,307$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over26c23,654$6,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.5266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c20,588$16,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.52,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c18,839$5,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,336.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over22c16,987$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.171,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a2…b929backed Under67c14,829$9,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.357100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over8c12,465$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.26624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under62c8,534$5,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.8420262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c4,856$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over12c3,500$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9921640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over17c3,494$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over8c3,375$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c3,089$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9006538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under80c2,813$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.27529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over30c2,737$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.7653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over31c2,714$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.31,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under61c2,540$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under69c2,527$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over39c2,513$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over8c2,214$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1313059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Under70c2,181$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.153470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over8c1,901$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.931,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over8c1,838$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.931,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under64c1,723$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.3911436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over17c1,700$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c1,509$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Under72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over8c1,235$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Under80c1,171$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c1,112$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Over6c851.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6710356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over22c782.5$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1511717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Under70c766.99$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.110734.6%37 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over31c761.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over7c761.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under72c699.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Under69c682.7$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6412635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Under62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.166141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under76c598.38$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6112154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over40c586.68$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.676732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over28c556.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bca…ae50backed Under67c534.36$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.281560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad26…589cbacked Under68c517.39$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.395240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under62c510$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.317255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over8c481.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.547219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over41c419.68$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.323737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c72…893ebacked Over35c413.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under65c413.33$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9318548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Under66c403.59$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over21c398.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.062,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309428.7%27 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…d888backed Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under67c372.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2845536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5073…59f0backed Under80c371.16$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.235156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over28c352.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4547744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebf…8424backed Over39c332.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.879558.9%56 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8721227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea7d…a0bdbacked Under60c327.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.142958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e9…a820backed Over12c308.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.875236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over34c300.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c265.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.112,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e9…9f3abacked Under68c260.57$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.381040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842c…cc1ebacked Under80c256.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.292142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…03f9backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019152.4%100 W · 91 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x275e…3cf4backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over27c250.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05df…94c0backed Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Under63c245.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8414939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over19c239.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.091,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c238.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff6…521ebacked Under63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13959%23 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over20c233$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x234b…4118backed Under71c232.39$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.394047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Under78c231.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9423747.3%112 W · 125 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.