TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x46f0…fe05backed Under4c2,990$114 inLost-$113.628441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under6c2,521$154 inLost-$154.324,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Under4c2,041$80 inLost-$79.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c1,059$10 inLost-$10.332,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under5c776.98$36 inLost-$36.4151315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under7c757.4$51 inLost-$51.092,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under5c725.31$35 inLost-$34.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Under5c708.71$35 inLost-$35.277911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Under4c530.79$20 inLost-$202119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb8…3236backed Under5c519.17$25 inLost-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fb…7cc5backed Under4c499.99$21 inLost-$21.26634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under7c496.66$33 inLost-$33.232,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under5c465.52$22 inLost-$22.121,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2674…c1fabacked Under5c392.16$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-73.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under4c277.5$12 inLost-$12.213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under4c275.92$10 inLost-$10.482,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368f…a97ebacked Under4c249.93$11 inLost-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…e281backed Under7c200$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b95…a6b2backed Under5c200$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.