Spread: Spain (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb326038e98f139550add22cab891493f7093118096eb005cd7d3224aaf4f5e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spainof Spain, Saudi Arabia
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,170,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,613,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,170,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Saudi Arabia	46c	599,350$277,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277,018.03	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saudi Arabia	42c	380,378$160,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,233.11	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Spain	54c	379,517$204,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174,577.81	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Spain	47c	245,576$115,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130,155.04	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Saudi Arabia	52c	228,387$119,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,877.45	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Saudi Arabia	46c	206,176$95,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95,071.92	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Spain	51c	155,770$79,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,875.38	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain	54c	150,000$81,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,000	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spain	56c	133,929$75,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,928.57	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Saudi Arabia	53c	121,610$64,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,453.3	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Saudi Arabia	45c	108,859$48,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,877.46	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Spain	54c	107,565$57,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,615.73	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Spain	55c	100,000$55,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,999.96	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Saudi Arabia	52c	82,376$43,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,063.64	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Spain	54c	80,000$43,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,799.98	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Spain	54c	76,811$41,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,345.38	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain	63c	75,750$47,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,072.37	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Saudi Arabia	46c	70,000$32,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,200	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Spain	54c	67,987$36,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,274.02	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spain	54c	55,556$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,555.56	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Saudi Arabia	46c	53,100$24,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,426	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Saudi Arabia	45c	50,478$22,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,966.84	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spain	54c	50,000$27,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,000	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Spain	55c	50,000$27,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,500	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Saudi Arabia	46c	50,000$23,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,000	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Saudi Arabia	45c	50,000$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,500	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Spain	55c	50,000$27,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,499.89	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Saudi Arabia	46c	45,000$20,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,700	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spain	54c	44,928$24,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,666.79	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Saudi Arabia	46c	42,350$19,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,480.95	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Spain	53c	40,000$21,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,799.97	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Saudi Arabia	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,599.96	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Spain	54c	37,037$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,037.04	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Spain	47c	35,355$16,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,604.01	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Saudi Arabia	11c	31,624$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,453.71	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Saudi Arabia	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,799.96	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Saudi Arabia	45c	29,475$13,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,154.43	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed Saudi Arabia	44c	27,750$12,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,209.85	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Spain	54c	20,000$10,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,099.99	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Spain	54c	18,519$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,518.52	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Saudi Arabia	46c	18,046$8,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,266.06	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain	52c	17,523$9,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,486.3	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Saudi Arabia	50c	16,072$7,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,970.05	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Spain	49c	15,853$7,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,085.06	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Spain	54c	15,808$8,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,271.58	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spain	68c	15,255$10,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,881.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Saudi Arabia	46c	14,940$6,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,871.53	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Saudi Arabia	46c	14,483$6,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,701.47	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Spain	49c	14,286$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,285.71	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Saudi Arabia	45c	13,333$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Spain	54c	13,000$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,980	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Spain	49c	12,587$6,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,419.44	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Saudi Arabia	2c	12,415$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.57	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saudi Arabia	24c	12,170$2,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,916.01	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Saudi Arabia	45c	12,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.9	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Saudi Arabia	53c	11,433$6,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,050.05	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Spain	53c	11,321$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,320.75	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Spain	55c	11,244$6,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,059.77	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Spain	54c	11,224$6,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,123.22	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Saudi Arabia	46c	11,135$5,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,103.8	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ec…a8cdbacked Saudi Arabia	45c	11,085$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Saudi Arabia	45c	10,168$4,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,575.49	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spain	55c	10,013$5,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,505.89	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Saudi Arabia	49c	10,003$4,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.49	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Saudi Arabia	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Spain	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spain	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Spain	55c	10,000$5,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,549.98	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Spain	55c	9,818$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,418.18	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Saudi Arabia	45c	9,800$4,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,409.99	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Saudi Arabia	46c	9,419$4,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,301.04	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ae…faeabacked Saudi Arabia	46c	9,310$4,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,282.6	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…1b1bbacked Spain	55c	8,937$4,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,021.8	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Spain	49c	8,900$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.56	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	59c	8,558$5,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,496.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f06…780ebacked Spain	47c	8,013$3,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,246.77	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Saudi Arabia	46c	8,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain	54c	7,947$4,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,685.62	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Saudi Arabia	45c	7,500$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,374.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Saudi Arabia	34c	7,000$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Spain	50c	6,972$3,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,485.96	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Saudi Arabia	51c	6,884$3,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,516.24	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Spain	53c	6,382$3,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.54	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Spain	48c	6,250$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,250	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Spain	49c	6,156$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,155.67	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Spain	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Spain	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.98	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spain	55c	5,905$3,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,666.12	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Saudi Arabia	4c	5,755$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.46	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Saudi Arabia	46c	5,347$2,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.46	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Saudi Arabia	46c	5,184$2,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.82	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Spain	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Saudi Arabia	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spain	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Spain	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.97	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Saudi Arabia	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.97	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Spain	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.96	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae38…66aabacked Spain	55c	4,727$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,127.27	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Saudi Arabia	46c	4,500$2,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,070	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)this page
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event