TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c70,000$34,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,699.7942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c53,312$27,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,2634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c6,228$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.261,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under51c5,183$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.2215459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under50c4,955$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4977331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c3,837$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c2,325$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c1,994$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106e…e672backed Under54c1,567$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.171729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over50c1,505$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9622436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over47c1,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9617241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under53c1,463$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c1,251$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.56246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over48c1,032$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.362254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over55c1,021$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8335244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under52c967.81$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2646550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over49c750$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2211156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under51c743.54$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over47c712.34$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under56c687.48$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.997346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c598.16$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over45c546.4$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.416123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over47c543.66$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1410432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c540.57$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under59c499.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under55c442.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.45648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over45c439.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6156240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…b2febacked Over47c427.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.773855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Over50c400.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.42842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under51c392.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.962941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over48c391$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.323354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Over46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1894261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under51c332.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.863745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under51c323.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.125930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15526047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c274.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.922,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over45c255$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.251,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec52…59e8backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under54c237.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4813651.5%70 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under6c235$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.118431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c233.61$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.193,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c220.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c215.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…49f1backed Over47c212.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.928728.7%25 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over47c208.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5123729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over71c199.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5920651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Under47c196.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.636030%18 W · 42 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under51c196.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.999359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c193.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under51c187.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3840240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over46c176.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.223737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c174$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over47c169.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Under32c155.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over46c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.519040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.513331.6%42 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c149.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.321,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c79…6746backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8915455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…b5abbacked Over49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.657041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under13c130$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x935b…4c13backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under51c107.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.178234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3ae9backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.387938%30 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over50c102.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.249426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0425150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Over46c101.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8614550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over50c98.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4124935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Over51c97.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9710136.6%37 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under57c97.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…b241backed Over49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb71d…55f2backed Over48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.24934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under51c83.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3919754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under51c82.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0410452.9%55 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Under51c81.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.678863.6%56 W · 32 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over66c75.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5917459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4714842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3716544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9235848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Under55c72.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over50c69.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.77142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under51c67.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3222452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over50c64.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over46c57.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.326344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over44c55.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3111846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.