TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,814,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,908,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,814,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 944 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d36…0e68backed Over32c778,057$248,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,978.351225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under68c359,473$244,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,126.1133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c200,483$109,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,498.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed Over32c199,999$64,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,999.681513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under68c198,659$135,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,459.0677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under68c155,640$105,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,312.5174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c82,672$33,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,139.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under22c70,647$15,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,361.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c56,715$25,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,074.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under76c45,837$34,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,061.8128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under40c42,352$16,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,359.4415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under62c39,162$24,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,926.0666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under19c33,864$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,387.262433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under21c33,069$7,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,974.435442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over45c30,898$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under54c30,422$16,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,859.4328251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under19c29,956$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,297.867431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under36c28,195$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,025.5136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over30c26,150$7,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,737.7575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over72c26,056$18,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,686.951,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under55c24,197$13,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,904.5236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under62c23,093$14,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,838.730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over29c22,282$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.9122348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c15,979$10,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c15,753$10,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.361,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over69c15,658$10,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,874.8838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over30c13,362$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.261,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c13,196$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c11,542$5,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.432,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under52c9,785$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under74c9,655$7,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.5564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under71c9,236$6,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.4344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under25c9,108$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.1843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c8,578$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.581,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c8,276$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over33c7,576$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under68c7,140$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.911,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under68c7,117$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.441,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under68c7,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24011561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under43c6,802$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.7622933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed Under66c6,632$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.426956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c6,535$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under60c6,270$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.6715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under57c6,119$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.5637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8604250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under31c5,991$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.6933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under9c5,935$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.144119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over67c5,831$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.1638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c5,690$3,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.471,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under41c5,640$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.2338819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under17c5,352$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,425.9730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over62c5,325$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under79c5,301$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.1225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.996833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under35c4,990$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.1933843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Under45c4,967$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.714136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over31c4,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under69c4,800$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over45c4,486$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.2737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over79c4,430$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.521,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Under23c4,415$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.534131.7%13 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under63c4,413$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.3839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over62c4,232$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.8185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under71c4,203$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.035350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Over52c4,137$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.493271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under36c4,125$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.721,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over40c4,086$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.9637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c4,019$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.0524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under64c3,925$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.9520839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c3,854$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over49c3,816$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.761,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under77c3,807$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.936454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under58c3,774$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.4313234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under75c3,484$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.1734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under32c3,406$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Over24c3,347$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.641656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over54c3,313$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.392,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under69c3,312$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02511436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under33c3,277$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18919738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over43c3,077$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.991,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c3,058$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under39c2,974$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.9434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under24c2,953$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.3827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over66c2,869$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.5410355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under28c2,788$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.4514131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under70c2,703$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.834746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under61c2,692$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.216855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2697…0b15backed Under17c2,653$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+154.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under16c2,653$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.1313811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c2,590$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…fa0abacked Under58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.212487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c2,556$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.342,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over79c2,538$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under56c2,444$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.6919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under41c2,393$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.3316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over74c2,370$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.92763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.