TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spainof Saudi Arabia, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,330 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Saudi Arabia1c13,560$130 inLost-$129.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Saudi Arabia1c9,842$60 inLost-$6013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Saudi Arabia1c4,984$30 inLost-$29.9142710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saudi Arabia0c4,426$14 inLost-$14.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Saudi Arabia1c3,055$18 inLost-$18.324540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Saudi Arabia1c2,000$18 inLost-$1824825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Saudi Arabia1c1,500$14 inLost-$13.518118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Saudi Arabia1c1,500$13 inLost-$13.511733.3%39 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Saudi Arabia1c1,340$13 inLost-$12.9495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd585…986dbacked Saudi Arabia1c1,250$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a1…a667backed Saudi Arabia1c1,000$10 inLost-$106523.1%15 W · 50 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b43…e587backed Saudi Arabia1c1,000$10 inLost-$107032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.