Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a665bd273eb31112ba97fc4f4eec933b6697d86c8b0d3ec25438a23e9f2e326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 71c | 3,125$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.99 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 69c | 1,957$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.85 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 21c | 1,943$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 1,482$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 35c | 605.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Over | 75c | 533.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 48c | 481.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 41c | 428.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 335.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…dad6backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Under | 32c | 267.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 227.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 206.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…23f5backed Over | 71c | 199.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 22c | 165.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 6c | 159.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 149.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 43c | 128.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…3e1fbacked Over | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 32c | 107.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 55c | 95.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 38c | 80.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 74.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 72.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 56c | 66.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Over | 74c | 63.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…740ebacked Over | 73c | 61.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…debbbacked Under | 42c | 35.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 42c | 35.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 34.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…cd4fbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 24.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 43c | 23.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Over | 55c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…bed2backed Over | 72c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.