Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e8ded4f3ffde378bbe9ea71cc7f8a95627ee91c4552cace87a4eac9d754ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 6c | 72,351$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.07 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 35,022$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Over | 1c | 14,916$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 6,445$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…761dbacked Over | 0c | 5,120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…c3aabacked Over | 10c | 5,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Over | 2c | 2,590$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 3c | 1,332$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 1,166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…837bbacked Over | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…5f09backed Over | 11c | 862.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over | 10c | 565.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 7c | 557.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…5c98backed Over | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 5c | 499.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…0928backed Over | 2c | 498.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 11c | 409.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 11c | 373.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…1998backed Over | 11c | 272.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…a10fbacked Over | 7c | 236.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…d971backed Over | 8c | 197.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 8c | 186.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Over | 11c | 137.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Over | 9c | 126.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Over | 11c | 111.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 11c | 110.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 212 | 41.5%88 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…725cbacked Over | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6c…229cbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5this page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.