Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbefb6355082508fa36d127cb5c516d05524f34ad2a0bd6a06730d163d9f30d3c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaff3…c3b2backed Under	61c	3,283$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.72	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	55c	3,090$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	41c	2,613$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.17	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	22c	2,574$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.26	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under	50c	2,012$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.56	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	57c	1,067$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…57ecbacked Under	55c	999.97$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.99	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	69c	711.08$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.44	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Under	45c	673.68$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.68	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Over	55c	610.3$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.4	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over	34c	596.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	40%34 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	29c	552.27$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	50c	466.71$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.57	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	29c	393.23$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.92	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd008…84fabacked Over	51c	388.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	66c	337.01$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.58	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	45c	332.23$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.93	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	71c	325.46$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.38	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	71c	308.86$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.56	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	51c	290.14$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.6	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over	33c	258.58$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	93	25.8%24 W · 69 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under	15c	254.96$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.72	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a79…72e1backed Over	67c	223.88$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Under	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	195	20%39 W · 156 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	39c	175.49$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.69	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	52c	154.68$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.74	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	48c	139.6$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.52	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over	49c	139.48$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.52	237	29.5%70 W · 167 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Under	53c	130.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.71	208	25%52 W · 156 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	45%9 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	69c	86.57$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	86.13$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Over	50c	83.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	43c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.61	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under	57c	55.51$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65f5…5e42backed Over	50c	53.87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285c…3ac1backed Over	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-68%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb065…0288backed Under	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	46c	49.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over	47c	48.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over	45c	47.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f6…1c6cbacked Over	45c	44.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Over	43c	41.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Over	48c	41.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5898…8229backed Over	51c	39.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…2801backed Under	60c	32.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…694dbacked Over	63c	31.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…3d92backed Under	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	48c	27.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…b497backed Over	50c	20.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	185	54.6%101 W · 84 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Under	69c	19.91$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.17	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	68c	17.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	67c	15.15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event