TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1abe…1dda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12339%48 W · 75 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.6%+$303.97
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$96.91
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$38.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
France vs. Spain: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+363.5%+$65.42
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.7
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$17.36
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$53.62
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$78.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.14
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.23
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$57.56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$52.68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.83
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$12.86
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$26.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$88.41
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$70.57
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.25
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$39.69
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.38
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.91
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$14.95
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$141.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$41.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.82
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+74.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$20.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.