Fifa International · resolved market
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5758a4535dfd0ce12ae980e0607fa4e91e28a74aff0a6301e932c011c2fbf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 30c | 14,582$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,280.14 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 31c | 9,436$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.18 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 53c | 7,346$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 55c | 3,303$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.29 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 26c | 2,202$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.75 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 72c | 2,057$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.11 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 1,800$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.98 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes | 64c | 1,720$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 69c | 1,718$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 29c | 1,716$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 25c | 1,610$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.91 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 30c | 1,249$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.12 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed No | 15c | 969$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 21c | 884.39$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 67c | 788.5$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.25 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 73c | 748.7$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.34 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 63c | 719.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 38c | 672.93$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 72c | 584.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 58c | 512$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Yes | 66c | 501$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 62c | 476.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 75c | 457$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 42c | 432.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed Yes | 31c | 419.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 50c | 418.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf50…59c2backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed Yes | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 32c | 385.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes | 54c | 381.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 56c | 349.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 65c | 322.06$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 33c | 315.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 32c | 300.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 64c | 297.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…be6fbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 69c | 271.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…3e28backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 69c | 240.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 25c | 224.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…9842backed Yes | 45c | 221.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed Yes | 21c | 216.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 215.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 65c | 205.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 65c | 200.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 68c | 197.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 183.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 55c | 183.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 30c | 182.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 64c | 170.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…ab00backed No | 69c | 157.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 76c | 155$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 30c | 153.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 61c | 150.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…c82abacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 239 | 60.7%145 W · 94 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 142.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Yes | 69c | 141.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 57c | 125.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 67c | 121$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 24c | 120.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…ed16backed Yes | 67c | 116.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed No | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 46c | 110.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…53d0backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 32c | 94.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 94.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 67c | 92.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 20c | 84.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…0948backed Yes | 53c | 80.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 33c | 75.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…269fbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 65c | 69.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 64c | 69.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…28d2backed No | 29c | 68.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 28c | 64.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 21c | 63.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed Yes | 57c | 62.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…a94ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…9aefbacked Yes | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 60c | 52.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…5551backed No | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…539bbacked Yes | 80c | 50.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will 2+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.