Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84e5b8822b91802ecb62eb814f20e606129b43cede58b27ad418e6d930c757f

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	67c	28,028$18,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,198.96	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	26c	12,500$3,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,308	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	8c	10,249$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.13	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	31c	6,500$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.93	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	39c	4,822$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880.7	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	33c	4,645$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes	6c	4,244$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.79	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	45c	4,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes	22c	2,882$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.27	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9559…4913backed Yes	26c	2,360$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	34c	1,932$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.09	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	38c	1,830$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.6	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed No	77c	1,597$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.4	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,243$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	32c	1,210$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.96	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	989$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	20c	608.48$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.82	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	15c	573.74$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.28	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	59c	550$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.5	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed No	61c	513.57$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.9	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	32c	468.97$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.98	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256f…2fa5backed No	58c	430.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.43	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf6…4a06backed Yes	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	29c	380.78$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.03	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	35c	366.94$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.12	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	33c	342.46$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.61	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	30c	328.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	76c	315.04$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.03	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes	40c	310$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	56c	295$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.8	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes	23c	265.24$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.95	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…ae88backed Yes	35c	258.06$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.32	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	35c	251.41$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.92	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	24c	250$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	33c	240.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.53	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No	57c	230$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.9	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed Yes	28c	225.51$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.2	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	33c	205$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Yes	34c	203.23$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	79c	200$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	199.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes	34c	191.94$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	25c	190$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	49c	174.8$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.42	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes	47c	170$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes	25c	145.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	54c	122.26$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ac0…0cebbacked Yes	34c	116.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f95…6ebebacked Yes	40c	116.17$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	35c	116$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e65…9d5fbacked Yes	31c	112.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaea…1d63backed Yes	31c	111.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No	70c	110$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…7eb3backed Yes	40c	108.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…c110backed Yes	31c	106.3$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4f…a849backed Yes	24c	103.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bab…8322backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.55	238	55.5%132 W · 106 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629e…6be4backed Yes	30c	91.64$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes	42c	87.35$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-48%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	41c	85.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	29c	72.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes	56c	70.58$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed Yes	26c	65.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x462f…fb33backed Yes	34c	64.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	79c	61.57$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes	36c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No	62c	54.8$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Yes	21c	53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	28c	53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58bb…a539backed Yes	39c	52.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed No	73c	52$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked No	66c	51.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6e…9244backed No	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d65…a790backed Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	77c	49.01$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…be62backed Yes	43c	45.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Yes	42c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1671…2f6dbacked Yes	45c	40.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	35c	40.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1cd5…5551backed No	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.32per pick	50cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes	36c	31.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2352…1d44backed No	80c	30.19$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No	53c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No	53c	19.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.39	168	47%79 W · 89 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	67c	15.56$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will 2+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event