TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb355…f149

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$823.65
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$283
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.73
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$198.9
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.59
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.16
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$85.98
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$101.99
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Senegal vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.64
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$285
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.85
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.76
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$88.54
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.38
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$76.59
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$163.8
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$258.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$41.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$729.56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.66
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$565.12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$118.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.68
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.85
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.51
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$693
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$69.8
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$253
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+284.7%+$740.03
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$101
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.83
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$1,496.94
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+713%+$1,841.68
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$179.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$84.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$54.97
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$98.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$199.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$119.95
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.99
CA Platense vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$56.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$503.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+68%+$204.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.