Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d76c21ac34ac8062351d886f7b06a6e8a9d0ff50716a26da35e408c5501ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,924$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 6c | 2,780$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 15c | 1,908$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.96 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,552$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,492$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 17c | 1,184$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,080$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…84fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,008$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 940.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 11c | 930.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 13c | 774.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 773.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 753.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 715$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 17c | 669.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 644.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 628.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked Yes | 13c | 607.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 14c | 585.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 27c | 526.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 7c | 491.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 14c | 484.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 10c | 440.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 12c | 438.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 9c | 431.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 20c | 425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…5bf0backed No | 80c | 410$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 6c | 311.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 16c | 307.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 72c | 292.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 19c | 280.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 15c | 266.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 32c | 254$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 39c | 252.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 14c | 236$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 9c | 232.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…6d75backed Yes | 7c | 229.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 20c | 224.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…68f9backed Yes | 10c | 204.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked Yes | 7c | 203.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 18c | 202.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 12c | 198.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 21c | 197.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…2040backed Yes | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 79c | 184.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 27c | 181.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Yes | 13c | 179.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 19c | 162.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 13c | 161.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…ab30backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 26c | 139.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 139.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 10c | 136.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 21c | 135.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 131.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 13c | 131.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…0383backed Yes | 31c | 130.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 78c | 128.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…415abacked Yes | 23c | 127.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 19c | 127.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…bd82backed Yes | 14c | 124.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 19c | 122.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 15c | 122.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…5b80backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…b86bbacked Yes | 22c | 115.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 114.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 10c | 114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…9b19backed Yes | 17c | 113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 11c | 111.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 110.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 15c | 109.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…0e45backed Yes | 24c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 104.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 13c | 100.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…a8a2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1ddbbacked Yes | 11c | 94.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…e643backed Yes | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…16eebacked Yes | 27c | 91.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 17c | 89.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed Yes | 23c | 87.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 86.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked Yes | 17c | 85.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 30c | 83.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 71c | 82.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 80.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e4cabacked Yes | 25c | 79.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.