Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1da319714d343b34857ca7f3ba21d232e08304c4a3c0a6ada77947461c28a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked No | 2c | 2,393$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 6c | 1,686$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 45c | 699.85$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.92 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 629.08$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 56c | 608.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 52c | 577.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.17 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Yes | 65c | 559.03$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 55c | 546.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 65c | 542.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 71c | 466.49$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 74c | 410.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 16c | 343.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 36c | 327.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…779dbacked No | 37c | 299.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 288.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 54c | 277$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 43c | 254$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 250.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 249.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed Yes | 67c | 237.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 38c | 231.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 47c | 225.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 211.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 56c | 205.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…bc24backed Yes | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 75c | 200.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 44c | 199.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked No | 53c | 199.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 63c | 198.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 55c | 182.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…7253backed Yes | 78c | 174.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 26c | 169.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…0b9abacked Yes | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 157.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 16c | 156.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…42e4backed No | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…3449backed No | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 140.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…71a0backed No | 27c | 131.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked No | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…00ccbacked Yes | 77c | 129.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 46c | 125.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 40c | 124.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 67c | 124.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 62c | 123$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed No | 32c | 117.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 116.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 48c | 115.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 14c | 109.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 57c | 106.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked No | 11c | 105.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 56c | 102.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 44c | 100.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 39c | 99.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…58cebacked No | 61c | 99.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 45c | 97.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 74c | 96.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 78c | 94.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 43c | 94.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 93.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 43c | 92.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…81ebbacked Yes | 56c | 89.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 76c | 86.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 82.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 75c | 81.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 57c | 81.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 52c | 80.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…e280backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed Yes | 63c | 80.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 25c | 79.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…570dbacked Yes | 61c | 77.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 55c | 76.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…dd70backed Yes | 40c | 75.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 24c | 74.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…a628backed No | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Yes | 54c | 73.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked No | 58c | 72.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…e473backed Yes | 54c | 70.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…8a7bbacked Yes | 48c | 68.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…b731backed No | 23c | 68.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed No | 36c | 68.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…c51ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…aac1backed Yes | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.