Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f00bfc47d7c6f6634aed9155702328b1720797892fdca0be65ee6ba7a6b6bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,477 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,940$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 3c | 1,309$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 6c | 881.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 849.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 15c | 790.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 14c | 696.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 609.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 9c | 599.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 14c | 552.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 3c | 503.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 10c | 501.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 445.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…75adbacked Yes | 8c | 416.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 12c | 400.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 396.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 388.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 12c | 379.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…2cfebacked Yes | 23c | 301.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 11c | 295.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…ee79backed Yes | 15c | 256.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…bc24backed Yes | 12c | 255.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Yes | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 12c | 248.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 221.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 20c | 214.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 8c | 203.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 14c | 202.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 199.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 12c | 199.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 10c | 191.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 186.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 19c | 185.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…68f9backed Yes | 11c | 184.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 9c | 182.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 19c | 177.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1ddbbacked Yes | 27c | 163.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 22c | 161.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Yes | 18c | 156.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 15c | 156.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 7c | 153.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 7c | 149.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 10c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…5b9cbacked Yes | 17c | 145.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 145$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 9c | 141.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…2040backed Yes | 11c | 140.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…4d39backed Yes | 21c | 140.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 10c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 16c | 127.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 79c | 126.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 120.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…d921backed Yes | 19c | 119.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 12c | 119.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 10c | 116.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 19c | 115.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 15c | 114.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 16c | 110.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…0383backed Yes | 18c | 108.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 108.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…780dbacked Yes | 22c | 107.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 71c | 105.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…5b0cbacked Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…3214backed Yes | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5200backed Yes | 14c | 102.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…ab30backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked No | 80c | 99.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…68a6backed Yes | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…9319backed Yes | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 95.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 25c | 94.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…24a9backed Yes | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 17c | 89.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 79c | 87.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…8f10backed Yes | 18c | 83.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7480…8f12backed Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 80.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked No | 79c | 80.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 20c | 73.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 17c | 71.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…7b83backed Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…e240backed Yes | 15c | 70.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…760cbacked Yes | 46c | 69.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…b45ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…9109backed Yes | 16c | 63.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 26c | 60.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…747bbacked Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +208%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 79c | 56.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 56.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…703dbacked Yes | 19c | 52.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.