TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1098…10a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
464
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT41733.8%141 W · 276 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 417 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$8.27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.94
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$5.94
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$4.86
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$10.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$6.58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.67
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Showing 25 of 417 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.45
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.49
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.41
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.26
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs megoshort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Abacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$19.52
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.28
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.08
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$14.19
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.87
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.4
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick77cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.63
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.19
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.8
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.23
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.58
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.95
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.4
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (W)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Stanford Cardinal (W)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.39
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Spread: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (-6.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.52
Spread: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (-7.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.18
Spread: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-3.5)backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.22
Spread: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-4.5)backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya: Katarina Zavatska vs Julia Grabherbacked Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.