Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3376f3a0be376558666aa49b8ee54139202b01dcbb016096bed9fbd6063e4f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7351…b857backed Verdant | 18c | 4,069$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD | 79c | 2,593$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Verdant | 8c | 1,760$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Verdant | 23c | 1,612$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Verdant | 5c | 1,231$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Verdant | 17c | 1,158$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed G2 NORD | 76c | 1,128$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.99 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 1,035$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Verdant | 21c | 1,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Verdant | 24c | 965.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Verdant | 28c | 934.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Verdant | 22c | 926.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 527 | 47.6%251 W · 276 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked G2 NORD | 68c | 873.06$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 NORD | 71c | 867.13$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.46 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 NORD | 68c | 780$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Verdant | 37c | 769.84$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Verdant | 21c | 708.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed G2 NORD | 71c | 691.29$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Verdant | 14c | 600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Verdant | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Verdant | 20c | 475$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 NORD | 71c | 464.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…9e15backed Verdant | 13c | 395.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Verdant | 24c | 360$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Verdant | 32c | 283.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Verdant | 36c | 234.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…f249backed Verdant | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Verdant | 38c | 215.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Verdant | 26c | 154.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Verdant | 24c | 149$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Verdant | 29c | 148.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed G2 NORD | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 NORD | 71c | 127$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant | 24c | 123.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed G2 NORD | 76c | 123.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Verdant | 36c | 109.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Verdant | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed G2 NORD | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Verdant | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574b…023cbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 95.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Verdant | 22c | 91.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Verdant | 28c | 88.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Verdant | 21c | 87.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed G2 NORD | 75c | 86.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Verdant | 24c | 69.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed G2 NORD | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed G2 NORD | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 NORD | 76c | 62.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Verdant | 25c | 57.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3e5dbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 55.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…449dbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 50.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed G2 NORD | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked G2 NORD | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed G2 NORD | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed G2 NORD | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed G2 NORD | 76c | 40.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 NORD | 76c | 38.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed G2 NORD | 72c | 38.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed G2 NORD | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Verdant | 36c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Verdant | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Verdant | 36c | 28.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed G2 NORD | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 NORD | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…77e7backed G2 NORD | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…706abacked G2 NORD | 74c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Verdant won
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Verdant won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.