TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe01f…ff34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
345
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20343.8%89 W · 114 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$46.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$11.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$12.83
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10964.2%70 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$13.68
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$10.2
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$16.51
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$23.07
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$40.38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.91
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.22
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51%+$11.22
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$17.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.