TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof XLG Gaming, Leviatán Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed Leviatán Esports60c35,665$21,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,216.221485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked XLG Gaming37c21,101$7,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,811.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Leviatán Esports63c20,412$12,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,553.0810455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming40c18,607$7,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,441.7624145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming3c10,291$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Leviatán Esports64c8,561$5,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.5926650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed XLG Gaming38c4,002$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.7539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked XLG Gaming8c3,750$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed XLG Gaming11c3,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming2c2,817$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed XLG Gaming36c2,650$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95410842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming30c2,534$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.0793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed XLG Gaming40c2,503$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked XLG Gaming22c2,130$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4410238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed XLG Gaming40c2,047$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.85058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Leviatán Esports72c2,011$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed XLG Gaming2c1,964$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming38c1,926$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7369340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked XLG Gaming6c1,896$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9515217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Leviatán Esports62c1,888$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.892369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed XLG Gaming38c1,440$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.214938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked XLG Gaming39c1,331$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.56931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed XLG Gaming1c1,292$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7210217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Esports68c1,145$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed XLG Gaming10c1,054$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5517349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked XLG Gaming22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fc…ddcebacked XLG Gaming3c838.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming38c749.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9922449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Leviatán Esports63c694.25$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.871675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming38c682.21$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed XLG Gaming28c666$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.153151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming36c657.92$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked XLG Gaming38c600$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.895660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…9755backed XLG Gaming19c593.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed Leviatán Esports61c553.98$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.29650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Leviatán Esports62c545.39$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7331046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7452…5ccbbacked XLG Gaming2c543.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked XLG Gaming28c527.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Leviatán Esports60c527.55$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.025655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Leviatán Esports58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0818641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5a…656cbacked XLG Gaming40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Leviatán Esports78c495.17$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3930147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Leviatán Esports64c465$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming35c450.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked XLG Gaming36c446.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.597737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming30c443.89$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.331,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Leviatán Esports61c399.98$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9933947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming27c364.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Leviatán Esports62c361.34$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6915160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed XLG Gaming40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Leviatán Esports61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Leviatán Esports62c324.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.537050%35 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Leviatán Esports64c307.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.812653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked XLG Gaming5c300.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.317051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed XLG Gaming25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Leviatán Esports60c288.83$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5322455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8faa…e76abacked XLG Gaming7c277.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked XLG Gaming37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked XLG Gaming36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked XLG Gaming39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed XLG Gaming40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7657…66ccbacked XLG Gaming41c245.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Leviatán Esports78c229.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.591275%9 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed XLG Gaming23c228.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming36c227.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.731,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming36c222.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf1…ffbdbacked Leviatán Esports62c202.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.871952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3284…4b0fbacked XLG Gaming28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe508…b5efbacked Leviatán Esports61c197.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed XLG Gaming37c187.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.374736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c5…9f83backed Leviatán Esports61c186.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd20…24dabacked XLG Gaming11c175.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205523.6%13 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked XLG Gaming32c168.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.494650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Leviatán Esports60c165.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.525238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming34c155$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.191,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports69c139.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked XLG Gaming36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed XLG Gaming38c136.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed XLG Gaming36c133.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0235331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3323…213abacked XLG Gaming38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed XLG Gaming30c130.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked XLG Gaming41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…2379backed XLG Gaming40c121.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming34c111$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7493148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked XLG Gaming40c110.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.261861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed XLG Gaming30c100.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked XLG Gaming40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Leviatán Esports71c96.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked XLG Gaming25c95.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.827045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Leviatán Esports62c89.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebd6…f3b3backed Leviatán Esports65c84.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.422245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Leviatán Esports60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Leviatán Esports61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked XLG Gaming40c81.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.668848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f8…e7f5backed Leviatán Esports67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming35c73.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Leviatán Esports62c68.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.984252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…344cbacked Leviatán Esports61c63.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.