Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4841ebf30ecddf1a7f21e2e6f4308f458938614665d87540482e15a490ae7370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 39c | 810.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 741.1$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.66 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 32c | 613.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 51c | 287.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 57c | 270.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Under | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 50c | 242.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…09febacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 180.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 47c | 115.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 61c | 95.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…fa1abacked Over | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…fe7fbacked Over | 48c | 75.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cb…99eebacked Over | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Under | 52c | 66.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Over | 45c | 60.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 50c | 53.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 61c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 52c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Over | 49c | 40.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…4e73backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…5358backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 60c | 19.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.