Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379dd5385c1c63dbb781c9de4012416de098db56864467c5e6c3dc8c2db614e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 2,937$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Leviatán Esports | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 1,693$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,414$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.55 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 1,378$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.13 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc232…e604backed Leviatán Esports | 55c | 1,373$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 1,178$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.14 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 1,131$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.04 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 366.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Leviatán Esports | 43c | 254.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…b39ebacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 237.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Leviatán Esports | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 208.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 201.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 164.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…f0c1backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…2f30backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 125$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 102.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…7972backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Leviatán Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Leviatán Esports | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 49.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 48.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 45.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 41.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming | 46c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 35.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 33.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Leviatán Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…6972backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.