TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e2b…2372

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.7
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.28
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.52
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.26
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$33.51
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.62
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.26
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.85
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.89
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.44
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$39.77
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.24
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.32
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$47.31
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.05
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.4
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$11.93
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.1
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.53
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.62
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.