Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a1d36268afdd763921ea086a8e88aebeaed174eae7ed1727ad2547cc5447b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.81 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Under | 48c | 5,595$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.53 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 50c | 5,050$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,555$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.93 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Over | 49c | 476.39$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 149.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…047abacked Over | 50c | 133.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 104.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 43c | 85.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 54c | 57.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 46c | 47.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 50c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 49c | 35.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Under | 51c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)BBL Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)BBL Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.