TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0553…047a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.28
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$66.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.18
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.2%+$10.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.29
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.7%+$6.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.19
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.38
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+74.9%+$8.32
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$7.63
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$4.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.