TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c22,309$12,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,771.213933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No44c13,406$5,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,833.143844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c9,547$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,162.8746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…6655backed No55c9,300$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c6,878$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.0333444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c6,205$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c4,872$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.2728659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c4,630$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.9398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes57c4,345$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c3,709$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.4347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes77c3,484$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528e…5c74backed Yes48c2,102$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No43c2,012$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.051752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed No23c1,487$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No40c1,427$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.9522852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes76c1,246$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.195945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No44c1,218$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.924148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No25c1,211$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0622652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes57c857.89$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+62.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes67c724.59$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.181040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes56c717.21$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No10c716.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.319431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No8c689.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.971827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Yes44c665.99$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes78c603.71$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.711050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No18c487.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.483250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No35c480$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes45c399.28$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.619345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed No49c388.35$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c381.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.984946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked No51c342.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes57c311.74$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.412035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes40c301.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5baf…3904backed Yes79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes65c299.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.997536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No27c296.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.794852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No45c295.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.722751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes50c287$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4712156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes56c253.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.574753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes48c249.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.181844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…c8f2backed No76c211.72$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes51c209.71$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.719065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes53c199.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.991353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No17c168.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8911750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No43c163.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes79c162.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4960…4f17backed Yes76c159.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes56c155.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.364854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes56c153.59$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.583259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No11c150.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Yes63c145.52$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes57c141$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes57c135$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.053073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No72c129.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5911858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes54c125.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x998f…75d1backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked No47c123.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Yes57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes27c114.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.812842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes41c114.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes57c101.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878c…529ebacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff1…d6dabacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.898247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes59c79.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.516373%46 W · 17 L+19.0wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xcf8e…cac2backed No16c77.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c75.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No44c72.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No46c66.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.392161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.945100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf98…6e3bbacked Yes32c63.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+209.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes79c63.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes56c61.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No48c55.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes45c53.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.585255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.633339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…52a6backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.